Thursday, April 30, 2020

Underdog Fromm Will Look to Repeat History, It Won't be Easy


There’s probably a lot of people out there right now saying Jake Fromm made a big mistake by going pro early and then being drafted in the fifth round by the Buffalo Bills. I don’t think so.  
The reasons Fromm was a fifth-round pick are likely the same reasons he would have been a similar-round pick had he waited until the 2021 NFL Draft.
Fromm was the number one quarterback the last three years at one of the most successful programs in the country. So, no real improving on that.
His stats are what they were. Were they likely to change dramatically had he stuck around for his senior season? Probably not. Last time I checked the Bulldogs did not have a wide receiver corps anywhere close to the ones that provided the incredible supporting cast enjoyed by LSU’s Joe Burrow and Alabama’s Tua Tagovailoa.
So, what kind of pro quarterback will Fromm be? Being a fifth-round pick will make his life a lot tougher. Let’s face it, higher round picks get a greater opportunity to prove themselves…and fail…and prove themselves again than lower round picks.
So, when his opportunity comes, he’ll need to seize it, and not with “okay” performances but outstanding performances. The type of performances that make it impossible for a head coach to put you back on the bench.
Kind of like what he did in his first game as a college football player. When Jacob Eason was injured in the 2017 opener, Fromm played Lou Gehrig to Eason’s Wally Pipp and never gave the job back.  Kind of like what Tom Brady did to Drew Bledsoe.  He will need to reprise that role when opportunity comes knocking in the NFL.
It won’t be impossible. There were five quarterbacks who started in the NFL last season who were drafted lower than Fromm’s fifth round pick and number 167 selection overall. Ryan Fitzpatrick, Kyle Allen, Gardner Minshew, Case Keenum and the GOAT, TB 12, the Patron Saint of all Quarterbacks who ever thought they were overlooked and undervalued.
Fromm’s designation as a fifth-round pick is largely based on the things that he does not do well.  According to NFL.com’s draft analysis, Fromm lacks “premium physical tools. Arm talent and velocity are below average. His throws lack a tight spiral.”
Now these were the positives: “Typically unrattled in high-leverage battles. Good leader with football intelligence for the chess match. Full-field reader who values the football. Gets through progressions in clean, timely fashions. Quick feet. Waits for route development in the face of pressure. Gets rid of the ball rather than take a sack.”
So, the short of all that is, Fromm is not a great athlete when compared to others at his position in the NFL.  But he is very smart and makes great decisions.
After watching football all my life, I will take the good athlete at quarterback who is smart over the great athlete at quarterback who is not. Of course, in a perfect world I will take the great athlete at quarterback who is also smart.
Fromm has a chance. Will he be a star in the NFL? Unlikely. But I really did not consider him a star in college football (not like say the aforementioned Burrow or Tagovailoa). Instead his “stardom” was a product of being the starting quarterback for a highly successful team with a rabid fan base.
A lot will depend upon things beyond his control. How quickly will he get a chance?
Fromm was selected to back-up 23-year-old Josh Allen who just two years ago became the highest drafted quarterback in Buffalo Bills history when he was chosen with the seventh pick in 2018.  That means a lot of money and the reputation and credibility of many in the Bills’ front office are tied-up in Allen.
Fromm will have to be extraordinary with limited opportunity to beat him out. It is the NFL so the most likely scenario is that chance will come because of injury. If and when that opportunity comes, Fromm must seize it just as he did three years ago in Athens.

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